Tuesday, June 16, 2009

16/06/2009 Market Update

---------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------|
| | Close | Change | Low | High |
|---------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------|
|STI | 2,288 | -28 | 2,264 | 2,302 |
|---------+--------------+--------------+--------------+--------------|


|---------------+-------------------+-------------------|
| | Shares | Value |
|---------------+-------------------+-------------------|
|Volume Traded | 2.23 billion | $1.77 billion |
|---------------+-------------------+-------------------|

We saw slightly heavier trading activity today. And the plunge wasn't that
bad too. As expected, bargain hunters did come in to support the market
when the STI trended nearer towards support region. It was not like a total
breakdown. Only a few counters such as City Dev, UOB, Kep Corp and SGX did
badly, while SingTel defied gravity and save the STI from a bloodbath by
gaining $0.12.

Our market created a gap at 2,303 - 2,316. Should the US manage a rebound
tonight. Our market can possibly cover back this gap tomorrow. Otherwise
judging from current sentiment, I think it is quite likely that the STI can
hit 2,180 or even 2,100 region on a "worst" case scenario before resuming
the general uptrend. Current support region at 2,250 regio is still
holding. But if you have bought some shares at this level, it is better
that we try to buy at other strategic levels, unless we are dead sure that
the market will recover from here onwards. Therefore, we will continue to
use 2,180 and 2,100 as the strategic entry points. For investors with zero
holdings, consider to nibble a little around 2,250 region because I cannot
promise you that the market will surely drop lower for you to buy cheaper
ok?

It is also worthwhile to note that the commodities stocks suddenly pare
losses considerably towards the end of the day. I subsequently found out
that it's because the USD is weakening again. This is exactly what I was
trying to say yesterday, just that I seriously didn't expect the USD to
weaken so quickly again. I am no expert in diagnosing the health of the USD
in the short-term. I just like to caution the traders who are interested to
trade the commodities counters not to be over zealous, because (1) the
trading sentiment is not there, (2) we all think the USD should hold some
strength for awhile and, (3) the correction for most commodities counters
seems a tad too shallow to me.

NOL:
It will go XR tomorrow. Whoever are still holding on to it wil be entitled
to the 3-for-4 rights share issue

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